What would you build differently?
Move beyond sick care. Design, test and compare a system that creates health.
Balanced transition MODEL VIEW
Does the system get better?
Watch the dependencies.
Better for whom?
Access gap = highest minus lowest modeled access. District health scores also reflect age and baseline disease burden; they are not risk-adjusted equity measures.
Care-loop performance
Find the trade-offs. Challenge the assumptions.
Search alternative designs, test system shocks, and explore how uncertain inputs change the answer.
Stress-test resilience
Apply the same external shock to your design and its matched reference.
Search system designs
Seeded heuristic search, not a global optimum. Constraints make your priorities explicit.
Healthy-equivalent years must not fall below the matched reference. Existing construction stays fixed. Capital is reported, not constrained.
Interrogate the model
All intervention effects and costs are hypotheses. Change them rather than trust a single point estimate.
10th–90th percentile spread of assumed inputs. Not a confidence interval or a probability forecast.
Five states. Six districts. One shared system.
Healthy → At risk → Managed / Unmanaged chronic disease → Death.
Prevention, diagnosis, therapy and access alter monthly transition rates.
managed ⇄ unmanaged→Death
Keep the counterfactuals.
Save up to four designs and compare each with its own matched reference. Plans stay in this browser.